Site: Warwick Hughes

Slant: Sceptic

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Recent Articles

Warwick Hughes: What is causing Tassie electricity spot prices spiking +$10,000 MWh ?

Just saw this at AEMO – large vers chart

2018-09-23 22:30   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Wave Energy darling hit by relentless engineering realities

Bells ringing on decades of renewables exaggerations and over-optimistic spruiking. ABC says – Renewable power darling Carnegie Clean Energy hit by a wave of shareholder discontent 22Sep18 comments on other renewables too – ASX info and chart

2018-09-22 01:45   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Daily climate & politics

A reader drew my attention to this extension of Chinese ownership of Australian strategic assets. Here is some more perspective on the deal. Port of Darwin all over again.

2018-09-18 06:27   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: ABC exposes wasteful WA Govt. water policies

A rare event for the ABC as Manjimup farmers make the news. Anybody who has been following the issues knows that “our drying climate” and other related slogans have been WA Govt mantra since the introduction of seawater desalination ~2004.

2018-09-18 06:17   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Greens Labor vote crashes too in Wagga Wagga byelection

Alongside the halving of the Liberals vote – both Green and Labor 1st Prefs are well down on their results in the 2015 NSW Election. I make the Greens vote falling 42% and Labor fell 15.3%. Amazing!!

2018-09-08 23:53   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Report on Maldives from 1837 waxing & waning

Thanks to Siliggy – Has a modern ring to it.

2018-09-07 17:27   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: BoM Victoria rain anomalies map downplays rain

Hawkeyed reader Bob has sent in this example of the BoM August rainfall anomaly map for Victoria failing to reflect above average rain at BENDIGO AIRPORT (081123) 51.5 Norm, 56.4 in August , CASTLEMAINE PRISON (088110) 66.4 Norm, 66.6 in August. And then a little further south the anomalies contours make no sense either – …

2018-09-05 18:23   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Restricted NSW coal generation & electricity spot price boom

Something for our new Energy Minister to get his brains trust working on. Large version chart Daily prices from AEMO – In mid June I posted – NSW coal electricity generation strike ends OpenNem NSW has over 10,000MW installed coal generation yet for example on Friday 31Aug18 peak hour coal gen. barely made 6,000MW while …

2018-09-02 03:00   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: BoM August Outlooks turned out monster fails

The BoM maps tell the story Max t Outlook entire continent predicted hotter than average (large version) Real world vast areas cooler than average (large version) Min t Outlook almost entire continent predicted hotter than average (large version) Real world way more than half of Oz cooler than average (large version) ABC coverage glorifying Outlooks …

2018-09-01 07:25   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Prime Minister fails to talk Quilpie rain history with clarity

A pathetic weak performance considering the staff and hangers on pollies have. The question about “climate change” should have been ridiculed. It took the station owner to push himself to the mic and state with clarity – “We’ve got 100 years of [rainfall] records,” Mr Tully says. “What’s happened here, so far, still sits within …

2018-08-28 01:40   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: PM Morrison brought a lump of coal into Canberra Parliament in Feb 2017

People seem puzzled as to whether PM Scott Morrison is enough of a climate sceptic to enact meaningful electricity reforms. I think his little stunt from 18 months ago shows what his inner thoughts might be. GreenLeft media 1 – GreenLeft media 2

2018-08-25 16:11   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: ANU studies Canberra street trees no mention UHI

ABC article – Our taxes at work.

2018-08-25 06:24   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Is Australia under cyber attack?

Recent news re Coles, NSW Railways, Woolworths, BoM computing used to mine cryptos, BoM hacked by foreign spies, China blamed for cyber attack on BoM

2018-08-19 00:47   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: NSW winter bush fires mostly free hazard reduction

Our thoughts go out to people who have lost property or been affected. The point has been made at this blog that we need large multi-engined air tankers based here year round and having them operated by the RAAF is the best way to use those aircraft efficiently. Just now there are 89 fires listed …

2018-08-17 02:24   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Few facts in a sea of lies re NEG debate

This chart from a year ago demonstrates the realities of Australian electricity prices, higher than nations that have the greatest renewables component to their generation. Keep those facts in mind when GreenLabor politicians rave on about “renewables reducing prices”. Chart is from the AFR. Another fact is AGL full year profit almost trebles on higher …

2018-08-14 02:26   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Oakey(Queensland) rain history ABC take note

Joe O’Brien(ABC News24 TV) with the help of an Oakey local has been spruiking how dire the drought is at Oakey. Joe gave a long time to a local guy who believed climate change was diminishing his rain but although Joe briefly said there were alternative views they got no air-time. Here is a chart …

2018-08-08 03:22   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Australian BoM temperature Outlooks for July miss the mark

The maximum (day-time) temperature Outlook for July 2018 predicted heat to be concentrated in the south east and Tasmania. But the real world July saw its peak heat in outback WA, NT and SA. The minimum (night-time) temperature Outlook for July 2018 predicted heat to be concentrated along the south east seaboard and Tasmania. But …

2018-08-01 18:32   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: BoM chooses not to explain Perth dams faulty rainfall data

It is months since this complaint went into the BoM and all I have had back is a couple of URL’s that will not open. Dear BoM, How is this complaint going? Your reference number in relation to your email is REF2018-158-6. Major rainfall data gaps Perth dam catchments Dear BoM, Can you please explain …

2018-07-22 23:43   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: BoM June 2018 Outlooks all failures

First checking daytime max temperature and we see a huge part of SE Australia with an 80% chance of seeing hotter than average days. The real world anomalies showed exactly the opposite with the SE cool. The minimum – night-time temperature prediction had an east-west band of heat across the continent. And warmer nights in …

2018-07-17 07:53   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Amazing – BoM adopts rational view Perth rain history

News today from Perth hat tip to Chris Gillham – Perth weather: Why the Bureau of Meteorology dropped more than a century of rainfall figures 3Jul18 Facts are Perth region rain changed to a lower rain regime about 1975 – over 40 years ago. Of course it makes sense to view Perth region rain against …

2018-07-03 01:55   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Canberra is infested with warring OMCG bikie gangs

Been going on for years – does anybody care? Just Google canberra bikie wars – try other words. Labor has ruled the ACT for so long you have to suspect Unions-OMCG links are a root cause of soft laws.

2018-06-29 23:20   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Record cold possible for Auckland

Never mention the ever growing and expanding urban heat island UHI – Record low temperatures possible in Auckland, Northland. Remembering walking to school in Glen Eden barefoot ~1950 through hard white frosts I would be amazed if readings would not have been below -1.5.

2018-06-29 10:24   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Labor asks coal fired generation question today

The PM was asked in question time by Labor re a statement by Paul Broad of Snowy Hydro throwing cold water on coal fired generation. I thought the PM shafted the stupidity implied in the question by pointing out that when Snowy Hydro 2.0 went ahead (great Dog of a thing) then Snowy Hydro would …

2018-06-26 08:13   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Our Resources Exports Volumes in AU$ are going backwards

The RBA publishes this chart which they update frequently and below I compare the July 2014 edition with May 2018. Resources were way over $40Bn a Quarter in 2014 – now just $40Bn and checking the wiggles confirms the backward slide. Rural, Services and Manufacturing have all increased since 2014. I am assuming the Chinese …

2018-06-21 01:06   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Antifa was born in the USSR

Since the election of Trump it seems far left street protest mobs worldwide including Communists, Trots, militant Greens and the alphabet soup of Socialists have tried to cloak their violence by using the term Antifa. The aim here being to imply that the current Australian Govt and everybody to the right of Turnbull are fascists, …

2018-06-20 23:08   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: NSW coal electricity generation strike ends

OpenNem charts shows clearly how after the coal strike from Tuesday 5Jun18 to Saturday 9Jun18 when coal fired generation was restricted to below ~5,500MW and imports & prices were up – coal is now generating up to ~7,500MW as required and imports & prices are down. Large Chart Did somebody kick some butt? NemWatch has …

2018-06-14 03:17   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: ABC and BoM dodgy drought beatup

Following months of ABC articles beating up drought – this ABC/BoM inspired article claims worst drought for over a century in “Southern Australia” which is an academic geographic region that nobody would identify with. Farmers identify with their district and State. But lets play their game and check the “Lowest on Record” dark red area …

2018-06-12 02:08   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: NZ Labour Govt close gap in Northcote AKL byelection

Northcote was held by National with a comfortable majority at the last general election 23Sep17. The voter turnout was 77.57%. Yesterday 41.37% turned out to vote – this will increase a bit when final numbers are all addded but it is a pathetic result although National should hold the seat. National could only rustle up …

2018-06-09 18:42   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: China has comprehensively gamed the West

Relationships with China are the subject of many news items lately. China’s “rightful place in the world” is a phrase we often hear and now “sinophobia” is being bandied around. Anybody reading this blog is likely well aware of all the above so I will cut to the chase and summarize recent history how I …

2018-06-06 07:02   Click to comment

Warwick Hughes: Frydenberg yakks micro power price cuts exactly as wholesale prices boom

Yesterday Minister Frydenberg was on ABC news24 TV and 2GB radio spruiking minor power bill reductions but he seems to be unaware that AEMO wholesale prices have been booming for a few weeks – and in the big coal burning States. These were the wholesale prices over the week around the 5th when he was …

2018-06-05 23:07   Click to comment

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