Site: Tamino's Open Mind

Slant: Warmist

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Tamino's Open Mind: The Oz Heat Distribution

We’ve spoken before (as have many before us) of the fact that climate isn’t just about the average, it’s about the whole distribution (the probability distribution if you want to get technical). We also emphasized that the tails of the …

Today: 02:39   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Hot as Hell in Oz

With winter snow in the northern hemisphere, we tend to forget the heat that summer brings to the southern half of the world. It can get pretty hot down there. The Guardian reports that Australia is entering the third day …

2019-01-17 20:38   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Masculinity

A recent advertisement by Gillette argues for men to be better, the best we can be, in part by shedding the ugliness of toxic masculinity. It has sparked some controversy. The main objection I’ve heard is from men who reject …

2019-01-17 13:20   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Global Temperature: Why So Many Straight Lines?

Probably the most commonly used way to estimate a trend in something is a mathematical process called linear regression. Basically, it means to fit a straight line [for those who must be pedantic, a flat hyperplane if we have multiple …

2019-01-16 21:13   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Sea Heat 2

The subject of this post isn’t the only new research on how ocean heat content has changed. Zanna et al. have taken a new approach to estimating it based on sea surface temperature history. Of course knowing sea surface temperature …

2019-01-15 14:38   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: El Niño and Sea Level Rise: U.S. East Coast (VII)

It was suggested that sea level along the U.S. east coast can be affected by the el Niño southern oscillation (ENSO, usually just referred to as el Niño although that’s not quite correct usage). And indeed it does. I looked …

2019-01-14 18:36   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Climate Change: When Nature Roars

A new voice has taken center stage in the argument over what to do, if anything, about man-made climate change. Although clear for decades, the science is easily obscured by clever propogandists. But thanks to this new advocate, things have …

2019-01-14 14:28   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Sea Heat

Just a quick note, that when it comes to the heat that’s been building up in the oceans, Zeke Hausfather got right to the point: He’s one of the authors of a new paper (Cheng et al. 2018) which brings …

2019-01-12 20:00   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Wobbly Sea Level Rise: U.S. East Coast (VI)

I’ve been looking more closely at the result from my new alignment method for tide gauge data, applied to the U.S. east coast. In particular, I’ve been studying the data since 1950, which very nearly follows a straight line: We …

2019-01-12 04:46   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Climate Change: More Gas from Trump and the USA

Under Trump administration policies, U.S. emissions of CO2 went up — substantially — from 2017 to 2018, according to analysis from the economic firm Rhodium Group. The Guardian reports: Rhodium Group tracks the most prevalent greenhouse gas, carbon dioxide. The …

2019-01-10 14:48   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Sea Level Rise: U.S. East Coast (V)

In my ongoing quest to find a better way to align sea level records from tide gauges at different locations, I’ve tried a new strategy. Different tide gauges are at different levels, so we need to offset them by a …

2019-01-10 14:43   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Global Warming Comes to Your Town

Like most people, I live on land, not at sea. I even live in the northern hemisphere. Global warming isn’t the same everywhere. In particular, it’s happening faster on land areas than over the oceans. While the globe as a …

2019-01-09 14:06   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Fooled by Noise

I keep hearing the strangest things from strange quarters. I know global warming didn’t take a “hiatus,” it didn’t “pause,” but some folks keep saying it did. I know Arctic sea ice hasn’t merely declined (dramatically in fact), it’s declining …

2019-01-07 18:59   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Heat Wave 2040

Some things deserve repeating. One of those things, which happened to come up in conversation recently, is that climate change has its most profound effect on extreme events. Climate change is a change in the probability function (the odds for …

2019-01-05 21:44   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Global Temperature: Adjusting Data (Cowtan & Way)

I noticed there’s a post at Curry’s in which Frank Bosse uses my method (and my program) to adjust global temperature data for things we know cause it to fluctuate. By removing fluctuations of known origin (or at least, our …

2019-01-04 18:48   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Sea Level Rise: U.S. East Coast (IV)

The 2nd region in my set of U.S. east coast areas (as part of the ongoing series) is the Mid-Atlantic North (MAN), from New York City down almost to Cape Hatteras: I’ll do as before, namely: Align all tide gauge …

2019-01-02 17:20   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: What Is Climate? Really?

A post at RealClimate introduces a new app, which enables the user to take a detailed look at climate data. It also raises the age-old and oft confusing issue, just what is “climate” anyway? I’ll begin the new year with …

2019-01-02 01:57   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Sea Level Rise: U.S. East Coast (III)

I’ll alter course in my cursory look at four regions of the U.S. east coast (we already looked at New England) to comment on a few things mentioned in comments. One wondered whether the faster sea level rise in the …

2018-12-31 14:26   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Sea Level Rise: U.S. East Coast (II)

In the last post I defined the four regions of the U.S. east coast for which I’ve created a regional sea level estimate (since 1950). Northernmost is my New England (NE) region, which includes the coasts of Rhode Island and …

2018-12-28 17:52   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Sea Level Rise: U.S. East Coast (I)

A new paper by Piecuch et al. looks at how sea level rise has differed from place to place along the east coast of the U.S. There’s a nice write-up about it in Science Magazine. They divide the U.S. east …

2018-12-28 17:02   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Freezy Hot Climate Change

Temperature varies, through day and night, from day to day, from month to month, and year to year. The most common way to note its changes is to record each day’s high temperature and low temperature, which has been done …

2018-12-26 19:48   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Global Warming’s Pretend Pause

A new paper by Risbey et al. examines the so-called “pause” in global temperature, and demonstrates convincingly that it wasn’t a real phenomenon, it was just random fluctuation that can look like a pause all along. I’ve been saying this …

2018-12-19 16:29   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Arctic Hockey

I’ve been studying how temperature has changed over the years in the Arctic. The longest record I’ve got is for land areas only, from the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project, which starts way back in 1750: Admittedly, the earlier data …

2018-12-13 19:18   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: ‘Tis the Season for Sea Ice

The news lately is replete with mentions of sea ice, because NOAA’s Arctic Report Card features it prominently, mentioning that “In 2018 Arctic sea ice remained younger, thinner, and covered less area than in the past. The 12 lowest extents …

2018-12-12 14:29   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Cooling Down the What?

I confess, I’m confused by Willis Eschenbach’s latest post at WUWT, titled “Cooling Down the Land.” It begins with this graph (of a mere 18 years’ data): Which makes me wonder, where can I get this CERES global surface temperature …

2018-12-06 17:53   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: In the News

Some things I’ve noticed in the news: The Guardian has an excellent essay from the Union of Concerned Scientists. USA Today seems to have pretty good climate coverage overall, including a note about last four years = four hottest years. …

2018-11-30 15:18   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Global Warming: Denial is Depraved

Nobel Prize winning economist Paul Krugman has an opinion in the New York Times about denialists, aka deniers, those who deny global warming’s reality, its cause (us), or its danger. What he calls them is: depraved. He notes their association …

2018-11-27 16:31   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Global Warming: Good Video

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2018-11-18 17:03   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Temperature, Rainfall, and California Wildfire

We regularly hear opinions from pundits who are very good at making nonsense sound plausible, even clever. It’s still nonsense of course, but with the right window dressing it looks very sharp indeed. Such are those claiming that the increase …

2018-11-17 01:04   Click to comment

Tamino's Open Mind: Trump Insults while California Burns

The LA Times reports that people in California, and especially firefighters, are angry at Donald Trump’s stunning display of both stupidity and insensitivity in response to the deadly fires raging through their state. While a quarter of a million people …

2018-11-11 00:48   Click to comment


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