Site: Stoat - Connolley

Slant: Warmist

Active: yes

Recent Articles

Stoat - Connolley: I am an Arctic researcher. Donald Trump is deleting my citations?

So says Victoria Herrmann in the Graun; with subheading These politically motivated data deletions come at a time when the Arctic is warming twice as fast as the global average. The alert will immeadiately wonder: do you mean citations, or data? Because they aren’t the same thing. Those even more alert will wonder “did you…

2017-03-28 22:02   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: ‘Moore’s law’ for carbon would defeat global warming?

Or so says the Graun: A plan to halve carbon emissions every decade, while green energy continues to double every five years, provides a simple but rigorous roadmap to tackle climate change, scientists say. Well you can’t fault the simplicity; then again “everyone should be nice to everyone else” is also simple. The obvious flaw…

2017-03-27 20:32   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Donald trump, ha ha ha

Tired of tossers6, I seem to be having a ha ha ha series. And it’s time for a two-month review of my brilliantly prescient Trump predictions. Except not really, because it’s too early, but I think the failure of his repeal of Obamacare is a good time to take stock, without breaking my resolution to…

2017-03-25 20:06   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The Great Persuasion Reinventing: Free Markets since the Depression

The Great Persuasion: Reinventing Free Markets since the Depression is a history by Angus Burgin of… well, you can read the potted summaries there, none are quite exact, I’ll off you another gross simplification: of the transition from Hayek as prophet-in-the-wilderness to the triumph of Friedman. So, this post is yet more politics, or economics,…

2017-03-20 22:20   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Influence of high-latitude atmospheric circulation changes on summertime Arctic sea ice?

Also known as Qinghua Ding et al., Nature Climate Change (2017) doi:10.1038/nclimate3241; published online 13 March 2017 (PDF as submitted). And the abstract: The Arctic has seen rapid sea-ice decline in the past three decades, whilst warming at about twice the global average rate. Yet the relationship between Arctic warming and sea-ice loss is not…

2017-03-15 20:37   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Woy and the Black Helicopters

UAH V6 has finally been published (archive). Once upon a time this kind of stuff was dead exciting, but now it is just another revision of just another dataset, and no-one cares very much. The paper itself is paywalled, but RS kindly points to the submitted version. As DA points out, RS needs a reason…

2017-03-12 10:33   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: More hot bumping action

Lents again; here’s a link to 2016 if you want to re-live the past. It was a great week, full of thrills and excitement. Caius weren’t up to it (as prefigured by Mays) and were caught by Downing on the first day; Maggie patiently bumped Pembroke then Caius to get their shot at Downing on…

2017-03-05 19:06   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The making of a Wiki-Lie: Chilling story of one twisted oddball and… so on

It am de Fail, they be at it again. With the world’s longest and least coherent headline1: The making of a Wiki-Lie: Chilling story of one twisted oddball and a handful of anonymous activists who appointed themselves as censors to promote their own warped agenda on a website that’s a byword for inaccuracy. The key…

2017-03-04 19:39   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Who were those masked men?

Or, as John Abraham puts it in the Graun, Just who are these 300 ‘scientists’ telling Trump to burn the climate? It appears that long-term union man Lindzen has been organising again, buoyed perhaps by the prospect of some kind of reward from the Trump admistration. It seems rather notable to me, however, that none…

2017-02-27 21:04   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Is Decoupling GDP Growth from Environmental Impact Possible?

Today’s lesson is from Is Decoupling GDP Growth from Environmental Impact Possible? (h/t mt), by James D. Ward , Paul C. Sutton, Adrian D. Werner, Robert Costanza, Steve H. Mohr, Craig T. Simmons; October 14, 2016 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0164733. And here is their abstract. The argument that human society can decouple economic growth—defined as growth in Gross…

2017-02-21 21:46   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The conservative case for carbon dividends

By the Climate “Leadership” Council: a who’s who of conservative elder statesmen, this statement is the first time leading Republicans put forth a concrete, market-based climate solution. The idea is essentially Hansen’s fee-and-dividend, though naturally they don’t mention H; and thankfully they’re prepared to say “tax” instead of H’s weaselly “fee”. Although they do…

2017-02-15 21:12   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: 2017 Underwater Photographer of the Year

From 2017 Underwater Photographer of the Year I select this one as the best: It is, apparently, a Lionfish in its early larval stage. Here’s my picture of a lionfish:

2017-02-14 22:53   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Mundus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur

I have a said a number of times1 – to no great applause it must be said – that those who are “fooled” by the denialists and faux news and so on are mostly fooled because they are entirely happy to be fooled. But now it turns out that I was definitely right, because there…

2017-02-11 17:18   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Prior discovery

Timmy has been for a while my prime – and possibly only – example of a sane libertarian, climate-wise. In that he has frequently advanced economic arguments on the basis of accepting the IPCC WGI science. And, it has to be said, in the face of opposition from his commentariat, who are stupid, almost to…

2017-02-08 22:03   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Has Nordhaus changed his mind?

William (good name!) Nordhaus has a new study out. The purveyors of snake oil seek to convey to the impressionable youth that he has changed his mind. However, it is a touch unclear in what manner his mind has change. Let’s try reading the abstract: Climate change remains one of the major international environmental challenges…

2017-02-04 19:03   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: GWPF membership declines?

The Evanescent published an article entitled “Global Warming Policy Foundation – the UK home of climate change sceptics – hit by 60% membership fee slump. That link is to an archive of Google’s cache; the article no longer exists [Update: but a few hours later is back: archive]. However, we can still do what the…

2017-01-29 17:36   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: He clearly recognizes that public service sometimes comes at a cost

Ha ha, fooled you. That’s the director of the U.S. Office of Government Ethics talking about Rex Tillerson. In more detail: I’m especially proud of the ethics agreement we developed for the intended nominee for Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson. Mr. Tillerson is making a clean break from Exxon. He’s also forfeiting bonus payments worth…

2017-01-28 18:43   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Swept with confused alarms of struggle and flight / Where ignorant armies clash by night

I was going to write something much harsher than this; but then I chanced upon “ignorant armies” and hence was reminded of Dover Beach and it was so gloriously beautiful again that I can’t bring myself to be unkind, at least for a while. So instead I’ll just quietly point out that the vast slew…

2017-01-21 21:51   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Turned out warm again

As we all kinda knew in advance, 2016 turns out to be a record warm year. If you read UKMO you get Provisional full-year figures for global average near-surface temperatures confirm that last year, 2016, was one of the warmest two years on record, nominally exceeding the record temperature of 2015 but that’s because they…

2017-01-18 21:52   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Climate models have proven extremely skillful in predicting the warming that has already been observed…

It am Michael Mann, saying Climate models have proven extremely skillful in predicting the warming that has already been observed and, by many measures (e.g. Arctic sea ice loss, melting of the major ice sheets) it is proceeding faster than climate models predicted… Notice any problems with that quote? Well yes: model inaccuracy is taken…

2017-01-11 22:07   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Derek Parfit, Ex-Philosopher

Or, “philosophy advances one funeral at a time“? Oddly, no-one has ever said that (<checks Google> – no, I’m right: no-one ever has) because of course it doesn’t fit. Philosophy isn’t like science, with clear progress that rather leaves the Emeritus behind it. DP says otherwise in his magnum opus, OWM, but doesn’t prove the…

2017-01-07 18:47   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: On being blocked on Twitter

Warning: tedious navel-gazing. Go elsewhere for substance. Partly this is to explore something I haven’t seen before. If I attempt to view this tweet I see And if I then checkup twitter.com/RogerPielkeJr?visibility_check=true I see: Obviously, if I actually just want to read it I can log out, or go via some intermediary, such as archive.is.…

2017-01-04 22:27   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: WATN 2016

Mais où sont les neiges d’antan! Did you know that “Antan”, though it now means “yesteryear” (which was itself coined to translate “antan”) formerly meant “last year”, as a contraction from the latin “ante annum”? Fascinating, eh. But not as fascinating as poking at the innards of dead things. Although now I come to it,…

2017-01-02 20:46   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Trump Calls The Majority Who Voted Against Him Enemies And Losers In New Year’s Message?

More politics-via-fb I’m afraid. I wouldn’t trouble you with this except people I know not only post it, but defend it. My headline could instead have been “a plea for toleration”. Some… oh dear, I’m pleading for toleration, aren’t I? So I’d better be nice and choose my words with care. Some website, “politicususa.com” wrote:…

2017-01-01 18:00   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: More Lindzen, if you can bear it

Just a quickie. In response to my last JM points me at The Greening of Planet Earth (1992), featuring luminaries such as Gerd-Rainer Weber of the German Coal Association (featured just in case you were under any illusion that it was only evil USAnian fossil fuel interests causing trouble; those nice sensible well-educated Krauts show…

2017-01-01 10:40   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: MIT Climate Scientist Dr. Richard Lindzen urges Trump: “Cut the funding of climate science by 80% to 90% until the field cleans up’?

Via Twitter via ClimateDepot (hold your nose) we come to RealClear Investigations which quotes Lindzen as saying, inter alia, They should probably cut the funding by 80 to 90 percent until the field cleans up… Climate science has been set back two generations, and they have destroyed its intellectual foundations.” This is classic crusty old…

2016-12-31 18:52   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Climate change and the Great Lakes

2016-12-30 18:58   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The year in stoats: 2016

A vintage year, for which the title must be Oh, and we were Gone / Kings of Oblivion. Something for everyone. Here, after review, is what catches on my mind. But first, my favourite mountain picture of the year. Other reviews of the year: ATTP; me in 2015. * Jan: Science advances one funeral at…

2016-12-29 23:09   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Hayek and Climate

Found, at last, the connection between Hayek and Climate! And from a most unlikely source, Climate Etc. Because it is at CE it is, of course, wrong. Even better, it is merely copied wrongness, from King Canute vs. the Climate Planners by “Jeffrey Tucker” (who?) at the Foundation for Economic Education, whoever they are (you…

2016-12-21 19:49   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Leak reveals Rex Tillerson was director of Bahamas-based US-Russian oil firm?

The latest in a long line of Exxon related drivel, this one from the Graun. It isn’t drivel because it is wrong – that Rex Tillerson is a director of Exxon Neftegas is entirely true – it is drivel because it has long been public knowledge, and so the “leak” is irrelevant. The very first…

2016-12-20 22:33   Click to comment


comments powered by Disqus
898