Site: Stoat - Connolley

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Stoat - Connolley: The polar amplification asymmetry: role of Antarctic surface height

I apologise for breaking into the stream of politics for some science: Temperatures in the Arctic are increasing around three times as fast as the global average, yet the pace of warming has been much slower at Earth’s other pole. A new study, just published in Earth System Dynamics, suggests the difference might – in…

2017-05-20 22:23   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: FT: The Big Green Bang: how renewable energy became unstoppable

A happy story for once. Isn’t that nice? The Big Green Bang: how renewable energy became unstoppable (archive) from those commie pinkos at the FT: …the disruptive impact of green energy on companies — and entire industries — around the world. After years of hype and false starts, the shift to clean power has begun…

2017-05-20 18:24   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Arctic stronghold of world’s seeds flooded after permafrost melts?

A bit weird, this. The Graun reports No seeds were lost but the ability of the rock vault to provide failsafe protection against all disasters is now threatened by climate change… the Global Seed Vault, buried in a mountain deep inside the Arctic circle, has been breached after global warming produced extraordinary temperatures over the…

2017-05-19 22:27   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Moon Jae-in orders shutdown of old coal-fired power plants

A minor note; President (Moon Jae-in)’s decision to halt operating aged coal-fired plants shows his strong will to provide a fundamental solution to the current fine dust problem,” said Yoon Young-chan, the chief press secretary. Yoon also said Moon has ordered the senior social affairs secretary to create a special task force to deal with…

2017-05-16 18:09   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Straight outta the lab, down the stairs and into the bucket of jellied eels

Sorry, I couldn’t resist the memory. This is about Out of the lab and into the field? by ATTP, who as usual is far too polite about Out of the lab and into the field by Dan M. Kahan & Katherine Carpenter, Nature Climate Change 7, 309–311 (2017) doi:10.1038/nclimate3283. I convincingly demolished this as a…

2017-05-06 23:27   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Taking Property Rights Seriously: The Case of Climate Change

Via a VV comment at ATTP I discover How a professional climate change denier discovered the lies and decided to fight for really long headlines which is fair enough, but via that I discover the far more interesting Taking Property Rights Seriously: The Case of Climate Change by Jonathan H. Adler1, a friend of said…

2017-05-05 21:33   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Economist: Farewell to the Arctic

Economist watch: Farewell to the Arctic is one of the headlines on the front cover of the April 29th edition, and The Arctic as it is known today is almost certainly gone is one of the leaders. Which is sort-of nice, to see it so prominently and starkly. THOSE who doubt the power of human…

2017-05-03 20:51   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Antarctic iceberg crack develops fork from Aunty

I’m in a boring meeting, fortunately over Skype, so have time to bring you Antarctic iceberg crack develops fork from Aunty. Nicely, they’ve added Wales for scale; I don’t think Swansea is to scale though. The pretty banding is SAR interferometry which is cute stuff, though I don’t think the article mentions that. The other…

2017-05-02 17:20   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Perspective: It’s Not a War on Science

Perspective: It’s Not a War on Science by Clark A. Miller puts forward the thesis that What appears to be a war on science by the current Congress and president is, in fact, no such thing. Fundamentally, it is a war on government. To be more specific, it is a war on a form of…

2017-04-26 20:34   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Waterfalls in Antarctica

I’m not quite sure what to make of this1, but it seems interesting, and the video is lovely. There are two papers: Antarctic ice shelf potentially stabilized by export of meltwater in surface river by Robin E. Bell et al., Nature 544, 344–348 (20 April 2017) doi:10.1038/nature22048: Meltwater stored in ponds and crevasses can weaken…

2017-04-24 21:31   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Marching for science?

I didn’t march for science; I was busy running the Head of the Cam (in something of a turn-up for the books, Nines won, in only a tiny fraction over 9 mins, a good time; Jesus were three seconds slower and in a welcome return to form Caius were only a second slower than that;…

2017-04-22 21:47   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The politics edition

I find myself unable to resist the calls to comment on the surprise calling of an UK election. But while here I’ll comment on Trump, too. Theresa May seeks snap election to take UK through Brexit Says everyone, including the FT, which adds things like The pound rose on expectations that Mrs May would win…

2017-04-18 21:08   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The East is Red

Rather appropriately, with all the murk swirling around Trump’s ties to the Commies, Judith Curry and John Christy are looking for new sources of income suggesting that Congress fund “red teams” to investigate “natural” causes of global warming and challenge the findings of the United Nations’ climate science panel according to the WaPo. In case…

2017-03-29 20:25   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: I am an Arctic researcher. Donald Trump is deleting my citations?

So says Victoria Herrmann in the Graun; with subheading These politically motivated data deletions come at a time when the Arctic is warming twice as fast as the global average. The alert will immeadiately wonder: do you mean citations, or data? Because they aren’t the same thing. Those even more alert will wonder “did you…

2017-03-28 22:02   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: ‘Moore’s law’ for carbon would defeat global warming?

Or so says the Graun: A plan to halve carbon emissions every decade, while green energy continues to double every five years, provides a simple but rigorous roadmap to tackle climate change, scientists say. Well you can’t fault the simplicity; then again “everyone should be nice to everyone else” is also simple. The obvious flaw…

2017-03-27 20:32   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Donald trump, ha ha ha

Tired of tossers6, I seem to be having a ha ha ha series. And it’s time for a two-month review of my brilliantly prescient Trump predictions. Except not really, because it’s too early, but I think the failure of his repeal of Obamacare is a good time to take stock, without breaking my resolution to…

2017-03-25 20:06   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The Great Persuasion Reinventing: Free Markets since the Depression

The Great Persuasion: Reinventing Free Markets since the Depression is a history by Angus Burgin of… well, you can read the potted summaries there, none are quite exact, I’ll off you another gross simplification: of the transition from Hayek as prophet-in-the-wilderness to the triumph of Friedman. So, this post is yet more politics, or economics,…

2017-03-20 22:20   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Influence of high-latitude atmospheric circulation changes on summertime Arctic sea ice?

Also known as Qinghua Ding et al., Nature Climate Change (2017) doi:10.1038/nclimate3241; published online 13 March 2017 (PDF as submitted). And the abstract: The Arctic has seen rapid sea-ice decline in the past three decades, whilst warming at about twice the global average rate. Yet the relationship between Arctic warming and sea-ice loss is not…

2017-03-15 20:37   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Woy and the Black Helicopters

UAH V6 has finally been published (archive). Once upon a time this kind of stuff was dead exciting, but now it is just another revision of just another dataset, and no-one cares very much. The paper itself is paywalled, but RS kindly points to the submitted version. As DA points out, RS needs a reason…

2017-03-12 10:33   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: More hot bumping action

Lents again; here’s a link to 2016 if you want to re-live the past. It was a great week, full of thrills and excitement. Caius weren’t up to it (as prefigured by Mays) and were caught by Downing on the first day; Maggie patiently bumped Pembroke then Caius to get their shot at Downing on…

2017-03-05 19:06   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The making of a Wiki-Lie: Chilling story of one twisted oddball and… so on

It am de Fail, they be at it again. With the world’s longest and least coherent headline1: The making of a Wiki-Lie: Chilling story of one twisted oddball and a handful of anonymous activists who appointed themselves as censors to promote their own warped agenda on a website that’s a byword for inaccuracy. The key…

2017-03-04 19:39   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Who were those masked men?

Or, as John Abraham puts it in the Graun, Just who are these 300 ‘scientists’ telling Trump to burn the climate? It appears that long-term union man Lindzen has been organising again, buoyed perhaps by the prospect of some kind of reward from the Trump admistration. It seems rather notable to me, however, that none…

2017-02-27 21:04   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Is Decoupling GDP Growth from Environmental Impact Possible?

Today’s lesson is from Is Decoupling GDP Growth from Environmental Impact Possible? (h/t mt), by James D. Ward , Paul C. Sutton, Adrian D. Werner, Robert Costanza, Steve H. Mohr, Craig T. Simmons; October 14, 2016 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0164733. And here is their abstract. The argument that human society can decouple economic growth—defined as growth in Gross…

2017-02-21 21:46   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The conservative case for carbon dividends

By the Climate “Leadership” Council: a who’s who of conservative elder statesmen, this statement is the first time leading Republicans put forth a concrete, market-based climate solution. The idea is essentially Hansen’s fee-and-dividend, though naturally they don’t mention H; and thankfully they’re prepared to say “tax” instead of H’s weaselly “fee”. Although they do…

2017-02-15 21:12   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: 2017 Underwater Photographer of the Year

From 2017 Underwater Photographer of the Year I select this one as the best: It is, apparently, a Lionfish in its early larval stage. Here’s my picture of a lionfish:

2017-02-14 22:53   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Mundus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur

I have a said a number of times1 – to no great applause it must be said – that those who are “fooled” by the denialists and faux news and so on are mostly fooled because they are entirely happy to be fooled. But now it turns out that I was definitely right, because there…

2017-02-11 17:18   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Prior discovery

Timmy has been for a while my prime – and possibly only – example of a sane libertarian, climate-wise. In that he has frequently advanced economic arguments on the basis of accepting the IPCC WGI science. And, it has to be said, in the face of opposition from his commentariat, who are stupid, almost to…

2017-02-08 22:03   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Has Nordhaus changed his mind?

William (good name!) Nordhaus has a new study out. The purveyors of snake oil seek to convey to the impressionable youth that he has changed his mind. However, it is a touch unclear in what manner his mind has change. Let’s try reading the abstract: Climate change remains one of the major international environmental challenges…

2017-02-04 19:03   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: GWPF membership declines?

The Evanescent published an article entitled “Global Warming Policy Foundation – the UK home of climate change sceptics – hit by 60% membership fee slump. That link is to an archive of Google’s cache; the article no longer exists [Update: but a few hours later is back: archive]. However, we can still do what the…

2017-01-29 17:36   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: He clearly recognizes that public service sometimes comes at a cost

Ha ha, fooled you. That’s the director of the U.S. Office of Government Ethics talking about Rex Tillerson. In more detail: I’m especially proud of the ethics agreement we developed for the intended nominee for Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson. Mr. Tillerson is making a clean break from Exxon. He’s also forfeiting bonus payments worth…

2017-01-28 18:43   Click to comment


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