Site: Stoat - Connolley

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Stoat - Connolley: Mays: Maggie and Jesus

2016 saw the dawn of a new era, and unsurprisingly on the men’s side it continued; Maggie were very fast. Clare bumped up two (Pembroke; Caius, still looking nice but under powered) but couldn’t touch Maggie despite having two attempts. Saturday saw LMBC two cementing their place in div 1 just opposite the John’s beer…

2017-06-20 20:52   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Risk perceptions

Not directly climate, and risks being somewhat tasteless, but I’ll have a go anyway. Two things come past: Light Blue Touchpaper (which is a lovely pun) discusses Camouflage or scary monsters: deceiving others about risk and ends with1 it might be time for a more careful cross-disciplinary study of how we can change people’s minds…

2017-06-16 09:58   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Truffles

And now for something completely different: a man with a stoat through his head. Nonono, not that. Instead, a thing from the garden: It is, or so I understand, a truffle. Or rather two. I found them while mowing the front lawn on Sunday. This was somewhat unexpected. And indeed, I might not even have…

2017-06-13 08:59   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The politics edition, post-election special

In the pre-election special I said1: The most likely result is a Tory victory with a (perhaps marginally) increased majority. But that would be dull, so why not speculate? A possible result is a hung parliament with – if my fellow electorate are not too foolish – the possibility of a Tory-LibDem coalition having a…

2017-06-09 22:00   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Scott Adams is a tosser, part 2

Scott Adams is suddenly interested in global warming. Why? It isn’t a new issue and he doesn’t really have anything new to say about it. I think the answer is that he has become a Trump fanboi and is running cover for Trump; or is still over-obsessed by his own perspicacity; or perhaps it is…

2017-06-04 21:38   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The politics edition, pre-election special

In the politics edition I made some amazingly prescient comments that now appear somewhat dated. Not quite definitively wrong4 – next week will seal that – but before the election itself it will be fun to write down what I think to see how it stacks up against what happens. Less than two months ago…

2017-06-01 22:03   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: An Interesting Error In Timmy’s analysis of Equilar’s Calculations Of CEO Pay

Well, interesting to me anyway. As to whether it is an error or not, I’ll let you judge. Please do attempt to judge. Comments saying “I hate Timmy” are about as much use as “Al Gore is fat”. The story so far: Timmy says Contrary To AP/Equilar’s Research The Top US CEOs Did Not Average…

2017-05-29 13:17   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Photogenic teens sue US government, part 2

Another in the long disappearing-up-my-own-arse series. Photogenic teens sue US government refers, of course, but so does U.S. fossil fuel groups pull out of climate change court case (via, and I’m sure you wanted to know this, C on Twitter). To whom I’m indebted for The money quote: “But discord arose among them after a…

2017-05-27 19:52   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Analysis* of Pope Francis’ Encyclical Laudato Si?

I like the “Analysis*”; it reminds me of Tesco’s “Finest*”, where I think they intend the “*” to mean “star” as in quality; but I always read it as “*” as in “footnote: may not actual contain fine quality ingredients”. But I digress. In this case, the “*” really is a footnote: Note that scientists…

2017-05-26 21:52   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The polar amplification asymmetry: role of Antarctic surface height

I apologise for breaking into the stream of politics for some science: Temperatures in the Arctic are increasing around three times as fast as the global average, yet the pace of warming has been much slower at Earth’s other pole. A new study, just published in Earth System Dynamics, suggests the difference might – in…

2017-05-20 22:23   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: FT: The Big Green Bang: how renewable energy became unstoppable

A happy story for once. Isn’t that nice? The Big Green Bang: how renewable energy became unstoppable (archive) from those commie pinkos at the FT: …the disruptive impact of green energy on companies — and entire industries — around the world. After years of hype and false starts, the shift to clean power has begun…

2017-05-20 18:24   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Arctic stronghold of world’s seeds flooded after permafrost melts?

A bit weird, this. The Graun reports No seeds were lost but the ability of the rock vault to provide failsafe protection against all disasters is now threatened by climate change… the Global Seed Vault, buried in a mountain deep inside the Arctic circle, has been breached after global warming produced extraordinary temperatures over the…

2017-05-19 22:27   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Moon Jae-in orders shutdown of old coal-fired power plants

A minor note; President (Moon Jae-in)’s decision to halt operating aged coal-fired plants shows his strong will to provide a fundamental solution to the current fine dust problem,” said Yoon Young-chan, the chief press secretary. Yoon also said Moon has ordered the senior social affairs secretary to create a special task force to deal with…

2017-05-16 18:09   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Straight outta the lab, down the stairs and into the bucket of jellied eels

Sorry, I couldn’t resist the memory. This is about Out of the lab and into the field? by ATTP, who as usual is far too polite about Out of the lab and into the field by Dan M. Kahan & Katherine Carpenter, Nature Climate Change 7, 309–311 (2017) doi:10.1038/nclimate3283. I convincingly demolished this as a…

2017-05-06 23:27   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Taking Property Rights Seriously: The Case of Climate Change

Via a VV comment at ATTP I discover How a professional climate change denier discovered the lies and decided to fight for really long headlines which is fair enough, but via that I discover the far more interesting Taking Property Rights Seriously: The Case of Climate Change by Jonathan H. Adler1, a friend of said…

2017-05-05 21:33   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Economist: Farewell to the Arctic

Economist watch: Farewell to the Arctic is one of the headlines on the front cover of the April 29th edition, and The Arctic as it is known today is almost certainly gone is one of the leaders. Which is sort-of nice, to see it so prominently and starkly. THOSE who doubt the power of human…

2017-05-03 20:51   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Antarctic iceberg crack develops fork from Aunty

I’m in a boring meeting, fortunately over Skype, so have time to bring you Antarctic iceberg crack develops fork from Aunty. Nicely, they’ve added Wales for scale; I don’t think Swansea is to scale though. The pretty banding is SAR interferometry which is cute stuff, though I don’t think the article mentions that. The other…

2017-05-02 17:20   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Perspective: It’s Not a War on Science

Perspective: It’s Not a War on Science by Clark A. Miller puts forward the thesis that What appears to be a war on science by the current Congress and president is, in fact, no such thing. Fundamentally, it is a war on government. To be more specific, it is a war on a form of…

2017-04-26 20:34   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Waterfalls in Antarctica

I’m not quite sure what to make of this1, but it seems interesting, and the video is lovely. There are two papers: Antarctic ice shelf potentially stabilized by export of meltwater in surface river by Robin E. Bell et al., Nature 544, 344–348 (20 April 2017) doi:10.1038/nature22048: Meltwater stored in ponds and crevasses can weaken…

2017-04-24 21:31   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Marching for science?

I didn’t march for science; I was busy running the Head of the Cam (in something of a turn-up for the books, Nines won, in only a tiny fraction over 9 mins, a good time; Jesus were three seconds slower and in a welcome return to form Caius were only a second slower than that;…

2017-04-22 21:47   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The politics edition

I find myself unable to resist the calls to comment on the surprise calling of an UK election. But while here I’ll comment on Trump, too. Theresa May seeks snap election to take UK through Brexit Says everyone, including the FT, which adds things like The pound rose on expectations that Mrs May would win…

2017-04-18 21:08   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The East is Red

Rather appropriately, with all the murk swirling around Trump’s ties to the Commies, Judith Curry and John Christy are looking for new sources of income suggesting that Congress fund “red teams” to investigate “natural” causes of global warming and challenge the findings of the United Nations’ climate science panel according to the WaPo. In case…

2017-03-29 20:25   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: I am an Arctic researcher. Donald Trump is deleting my citations?

So says Victoria Herrmann in the Graun; with subheading These politically motivated data deletions come at a time when the Arctic is warming twice as fast as the global average. The alert will immeadiately wonder: do you mean citations, or data? Because they aren’t the same thing. Those even more alert will wonder “did you…

2017-03-28 22:02   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: ‘Moore’s law’ for carbon would defeat global warming?

Or so says the Graun: A plan to halve carbon emissions every decade, while green energy continues to double every five years, provides a simple but rigorous roadmap to tackle climate change, scientists say. Well you can’t fault the simplicity; then again “everyone should be nice to everyone else” is also simple. The obvious flaw…

2017-03-27 20:32   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Donald trump, ha ha ha

Tired of tossers6, I seem to be having a ha ha ha series. And it’s time for a two-month review of my brilliantly prescient Trump predictions. Except not really, because it’s too early, but I think the failure of his repeal of Obamacare is a good time to take stock, without breaking my resolution to…

2017-03-25 20:06   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The Great Persuasion Reinventing: Free Markets since the Depression

The Great Persuasion: Reinventing Free Markets since the Depression is a history by Angus Burgin of… well, you can read the potted summaries there, none are quite exact, I’ll off you another gross simplification: of the transition from Hayek as prophet-in-the-wilderness to the triumph of Friedman. So, this post is yet more politics, or economics,…

2017-03-20 22:20   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Influence of high-latitude atmospheric circulation changes on summertime Arctic sea ice?

Also known as Qinghua Ding et al., Nature Climate Change (2017) doi:10.1038/nclimate3241; published online 13 March 2017 (PDF as submitted). And the abstract: The Arctic has seen rapid sea-ice decline in the past three decades, whilst warming at about twice the global average rate. Yet the relationship between Arctic warming and sea-ice loss is not…

2017-03-15 20:37   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: Woy and the Black Helicopters

UAH V6 has finally been published (archive). Once upon a time this kind of stuff was dead exciting, but now it is just another revision of just another dataset, and no-one cares very much. The paper itself is paywalled, but RS kindly points to the submitted version. As DA points out, RS needs a reason…

2017-03-12 10:33   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: More hot bumping action

Lents again; here’s a link to 2016 if you want to re-live the past. It was a great week, full of thrills and excitement. Caius weren’t up to it (as prefigured by Mays) and were caught by Downing on the first day; Maggie patiently bumped Pembroke then Caius to get their shot at Downing on…

2017-03-05 19:06   Click to comment

Stoat - Connolley: The making of a Wiki-Lie: Chilling story of one twisted oddball and… so on

It am de Fail, they be at it again. With the world’s longest and least coherent headline1: The making of a Wiki-Lie: Chilling story of one twisted oddball and a handful of anonymous activists who appointed themselves as censors to promote their own warped agenda on a website that’s a byword for inaccuracy. The key…

2017-03-04 19:39   Click to comment


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