Site: Real Climate

Slant: Warmist

Active: yes

RealClimate was registered by the organisation: Environmental Media Services which appears to be funded by George Soros. The site describes itself as "a commentary site on climate by academics for the interested public and journalists and says it aims to provide a quick response to developing stories and provide the context sometimes missing in mainstream commentary."

Recent Articles

Real Climate: Joy plots for climate change

This is joy as in ‘Joy Division’, not as in actual fun. Many of you will be familiar with the iconic cover of Joy Division’s Unknown Pleasures album, but maybe fewer will know that it’s a plot of signals from a pulsar (check out this Scientific American article on the history). The length of the

2017-07-22 19:58   Click to comment

Real Climate: The climate has always changed. What do you conclude?

Probably everyone has heard this argument, presented as objection against the findings of climate scientists on global warming: “The climate has always changed!” And it is true: climate has changed even before humans began to burn fossil fuels. So what can we conclude from that? A quick quiz Do you conclude… (1) that humans cannot

2017-07-20 08:16   Click to comment

Real Climate: Red team/Blue team Day 1

From Russell Seitz:

2017-07-15 18:19   Click to comment

Real Climate: Climate Sensitivity Estimates and Corrections

You need to be careful in inferring climate sensitivity from observations. Two climate sensitivity stories this week – both related to how careful you need to be before you can infer constraints from observational data. (You can brush up on the background and definitions here). Both cases – a “Brief Comment Arising” in Nature (that

2017-07-12 19:01   Click to comment

Real Climate: Unforced variations: July 2017

So, big news this week: The latest update to the RSS lower troposphere temperatures (Zeke at Carbon Brief, J. Climate paper) and, of course, more chatter about the red team/blue team concept. Comments?

2017-07-01 18:45   Click to comment

Real Climate: What do you need to know about climate?

What do you need to know about climate in order to be in the best position do adapt to future change? This question was discussed in a European workshop on Copernicus climate services during a heatwave in Barcelona, Spain (June 12-14). The answer is not clear-cut, even after having some information about user requirements from

2017-06-14 11:30   Click to comment

Real Climate: Why global emissions must peak by 2020

(by Stefan Rahmstorf and Anders Levermann) In the landmark Paris Climate Agreement, the world’s nations have committed to “holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels”. This goal is deemed necessary to

2017-06-02 09:06   Click to comment

Real Climate: Unforced Variations: June 2017

Absolutely nothing of consequence happening today in climate news. Can’t think of what people could discuss…

2017-06-01 15:10   Click to comment

Real Climate: Nenana Ice Classic 2017

As I’ve done for a few years, here is the updated graph for the Nenana Ice Classic competition, which tracks the break up of ice on the Tanana River near Nenana in Alaska. It is now a 101-year time series tracking the winter/spring conditions in that part of Alaska, and shows clearly the long term

2017-05-03 01:54   Click to comment

Real Climate: Unforced Variations: May 2017

This month’s open thread. Topics this month? What should a conservative contrarian be writing op-eds about that avoids strawman arguments, and getting facts wrong? What do you really think about geoengineering? Tracking the imminent conclusion of the Nenana Ice Classic (background)? Usual rules apply.

2017-05-01 12:23   Click to comment

Real Climate: Snow Water Ice and Water and Adaptive Actions for a Changing Arctic

The Arctic is changing fast, and the Arctic Council recently commissioned the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP) to write two new reports on the state of the Arctic cryosphere (snow, water, and ice) and how the people and the ecosystems in the Arctic can live with these changes. The two reports have now just

2017-04-27 13:06   Click to comment

Real Climate: Judy Curry’s attribution non-argument

Following on from the ‘interesting’ House Science Committee hearing two weeks ago, there was an excellent rebuttal curated by ClimateFeedback of the unsupported and often-times misleading claims from the majority witnesses. In response, Judy Curry has (yet again) declared herself unconvinced by the evidence for a dominant role for human forcing of recent climate changes.

2017-04-19 01:51   Click to comment

Real Climate: Model projections and observations comparison page

We should have done this ages ago, but better late than never! We have set up a permanent page to host all of the model projection-observation comparisons that we have monitored over the years. This includes comparisons to early predictions for global mean surface temperature from the 1980’s as well as more complete projections from

2017-04-12 03:56   Click to comment

Real Climate: What is the uncertainty in the Earth’s temperature rise?

Guest commentary by Shaun Lovejoy (McGill University) Below I summarize the key points of a that I think opens up new perspectives on understanding and estimating the relevant uncertainties. The main message is that the primary sources of error and bias are not those that have been the subject of the most attention – they

2017-04-12 03:06   Click to comment

Real Climate: Unforced variations: Apr 2017

This month’s open thread.

2017-04-03 05:42   Click to comment

Real Climate: Predictable and unpredictable behaviour

Terms such as “gas skeptics” and “climate skeptics” aren’t really very descriptive, but they refer to sentiments that have something in common: unpredictable behaviour. Statistics is remarkably predictable The individual gas molecules are highly unpredictable, but the bulk properties of the gases are nevertheless very predictable thanks to physics. More specifically the laws of…

2017-03-13 15:05   Click to comment

Real Climate: Unforced Variations: March 2017

This month’s open thread.

2017-03-03 11:29   Click to comment

Real Climate: The true meaning of numbers

Gavin has already discussed John Christy’s misleading graph earlier in 2016, however, since the end of 2016, there has been a surge in interest in this graph in Norway amongst people who try to diminish the role of anthropogenic global warming. I think this graph is warranted some extra comments in addition to Gavin’s points

2017-03-02 07:01   Click to comment

Real Climate: Something Harde to believe…

A commenter brings news of an obviously wrong paper that has just appeared in Global and Planetary Change. purports to be a radical revision of our understanding of the carbon cycle by Hermann Harde. The key conclusions are (and reality in green): The average residence time of CO2 in the atmosphere is found to be

2017-02-25 21:43   Click to comment

Real Climate: Someone C.A.R.E.S.

Do we need a new venue for post-publication comments and replications? Social media is full of commentary (of varying degrees of seriousness) on the supposed replication crisis in science. Whether this is really a crisis, or just what is to be expected at the cutting edge is unclear (and may well depend on the topic

2017-02-25 17:12   Click to comment

Real Climate: Serving up a NOAA-thing burger

I have mostly been sitting back and watching the John Bates story go through the predictable news-cycle of almost all supposed ‘scandalous’ science stories. The patterns are very familiar – an initial claim of imperfection spiced up with insinuations of misconduct, coordination with a breathless hyping of the initial claim with ridiculous supposed implications, some

2017-02-09 10:45   Click to comment

Real Climate: Fake news, hacked mail, alternative facts – that’s old hat for climate scientists

Distortion? False information? Conspiracy theories? Hacked email? Climate scientists have known all this for decades. What can be learned from their rich experience with climate propaganda. The world is slowly waking up. “Post-truth” was declared the word of the year 2016 by the Oxford Dictionaries. Finally, people start to widely appreciate how dangerous the epidemic

2017-02-08 21:31   Click to comment

Real Climate: New report: Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016

Another climate report is out – what’s new? Many of the previous reports have presented updated status on the climate and familiar topics such as temperature, precipitation, ice, snow, wind, and storm activities. The latest report Climate change, impacts and vulnerability in Europe 2016 from the European Environment Agency (EEA) also includes an assessment of

2017-02-06 14:38   Click to comment

Real Climate: Unforced Variations: Feb 2017

“O brave new world, that has such people in ‘t!” This month’s open thread. Usual rules apply.

2017-02-01 19:04   Click to comment

Real Climate: There was no pause

I think that the idea of a pause in the global warming has been a red herring ever since it was suggested, and we have commented on this several times here on RC: On how data gaps in some regions (eg. the Arctic) may explain an underestimation of the recent warming. We have also explained

2017-01-22 13:17   Click to comment

Real Climate: 2016 Temperature Records

To nobody’s surprise, all of the surface datasets showed 2016 to be the warmest year on record. Barely more surprising is that all of the tropospheric satellite datasets and radiosonde data also have 2016 as the warmest year. Coming as this does after the record warm 2015, and (slightly less definitively) record warm 2014, the

2017-01-19 14:27   Click to comment

Real Climate: Non-condensable Cynicism in Santa Fe

Guest Post by Mark Boslough The Fourth Santa Fe Conference on Global & Regional Climate Change will be held on Feb 5-10, 2017. It is the fourth in a series organized and chaired by Petr Chylek of Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) and takes place intervals of 5 years or thereabouts. It is sponsored this

2017-01-17 17:52   Click to comment

Real Climate: The NASA data conspiracy theory and the cold sun

When climate deniers are desperate because the measurements don’t fit their claims, some of them take the final straw: they try to deny and discredit the data. The years 2014 and 2015 reached new records in the global temperature, and 2016 has done so again. Some don’t like this because it doesn’t fit their political

2017-01-16 09:01   Click to comment

Real Climate: The underestimated danger of a breakdown of the Gulf Stream System

A new model simulation of the Gulf Stream System shows a breakdown of the gigantic overturning circulating in the Atlantic after a CO2 doubling. A new study in Science Advances by Wei Liu and colleagues at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego and the University of Wisconsin-Madison has important implications for the future stability of the

2017-01-04 19:05   Click to comment

Real Climate: Unforced Variations: Jan 2017

The first open thread of the new year. Your resolution will be to keep the comments focused on science. Try to keep it longer than your resolution to exercise more…

2017-01-02 18:03   Click to comment

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