Site: Bill Hooke

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Bill Hooke: Integrating Social and Behavioral Sciences within the Weather Enterprise. Part 3. Road Weather

“…I am the master of my fate,   I am the captain of my soul.” – William Ernest Henley, from his poem Invictus   In this third piece on Integrating Social and Behavioral Sciences within the Weather Enterprise, we zero in …

2017-11-07 11:12   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Integrating Social and Behavioral Sciences within the Weather Enterprise. Part 2. Findings and Recommendations.

Okay, Bill. The previous LOTRW post introduced us to this NAS report and the motivations behind it. We see the need. But what does it mean to become “as disciplined in our approach to social realities and the social science …

2017-11-05 23:34   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Integrating Social and Behavioral Sciences within the Weather Enterprise

For the past year or so (depending on whether you take a scoping phase or the first committee meeting to be the starting point), the National Academy of Sciences has been conducting a study on integrating social and behavioral sciences …

2017-11-03 13:15   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Status of the Weather Enterprise? It’s Adulting!

When I was a child, I talked like a child, I thought like a child, I reasoned like a child. When I became [an adult], I put the ways of childhood behind me.” –1 Corinthians 13:11 (NIV) Even Millennials might …

2017-10-30 16:07   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Post-hurricane Houston, Florida, and Puerto Rico. Part 3. Reframing

Weeks after the hurricanes have come and gone, Houston (and other parts of Texas), and cities and towns extending across Florida, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, remain a blend of humanitarian crisis and recovery. Trash removal continues but …

2017-10-26 21:35   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Post-hurricane Houston, Florida, and Puerto Rico? Bill Read weighs in…

Comments are largely out of sight in the blogosphere and too often are lost or unread as a consequence. They deserve better! That’s certainly the case with Bill Read’s comments on yesterday’s post. He makes three powerful points: (1) the …

2017-10-22 13:55   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Post-hurricane Houston, Florida, and Puerto Rico. Part 2. Three weeks later…

LOTRW last offered a look at recovery from hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria on September 29. Time for another quick look! Three weeks further on, selected vignettes hint at where things now stand: In Houston, analysis suggests Harvey recovery might …

2017-10-21 21:46   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Recovery: A tale of three hurricanes.

“Civilization exists by geologic consent, subject to change without notice.” – Will Durant “Recovery starts from the darkest moment.” – John Major “Forget past mistakes. Forget failure. Forget about everything except what you’re going to do now – and do …

2017-09-29 16:27   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: The existential human challenge.

The existential human challenge? You might have your own candidate; here’s one to chew on: Thriving on our generous, dangerous, fragile planet. Of course, an assertion like that deserves a bit of justification. Again, chances are you can write a …

2017-09-28 20:09   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Building U.S. disaster resilience.

Prologue: With each passing day, the Puerto Rican disaster reveals its true extent. It’s no mere disaster (a word cheaply tossed about), but a dire – and deepening – humanitarian crisis. Three million islanders need help now with food, water, …

2017-09-27 16:59   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Ratcheting-up America’s resilience to hazards.

Prologue: The daily news from Puerto Rico is excruciatingly tragic. A week after Hurricane Maria’s passage, some 3.5 million people are still picking their way through 3000 mi2 of debris in a search for food and water, and despair mounts. …

2017-09-26 14:22   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Shelter-in-place!

“A banker lends you an umbrella when the sun is shining but takes it back when it starts to rain.” – (origin debated) Let’s get one thing straight: in the face of natural hazards, the individual- and the societal policy …

2017-09-23 14:58   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Time to hit the reset button on American weather-hazards policy?

Here is America’s weather-hazards policy in a nutshell[1]: React at times when weather outlooks and forecasts indicate danger. Shelter in place where practical; otherwise, save lives through emergency response, primarily evacuation. Start with action at the local level. Call in …

2017-09-14 17:50   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: The Harvey-Irma reveal.

“Forecasting the weather” vs. “protecting life and property?” Hurricanes Harvey and Irma reveal important policy implications. An earlier pair of LOTRW posts introduced this subject. They argued that the shift from merely predicting the state of the atmosphere to use …

2017-09-08 22:04   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Hurricane Harvey: The REAL world intrudes on the VIRTUAL one… and sharpens minds.

“Aslan is a lion- the Lion, the great Lion.” “Ooh” said Susan. “I’d thought he was a man. Is he-quite safe? I shall feel rather nervous about meeting a lion”…”Safe?” said Mr Beaver …”Who said anything about safe? ‘Course he …

2017-09-02 16:04   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Living on the REAL world: suffering and sorrow.

“Sing praises to the Lord, O you his saints, and give thanks to his holy name.  For his anger is but for a moment, and his favor is for a lifetime. Weeping may tarry for the night, but joy comes with the morning.” – Psalm …

2017-08-30 20:33   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: “Forecasting the weather” vs. “protecting life and property?”

A big leap. Just how big a leap? And why? Why is it so difficult to go beyond a forecast of the weather, an inherently chaotic system, to using that forecast to protect life and property? What makes that seemingly …

2017-07-21 14:56   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Weather services and social science: the tail (re)-discovers the dog.

For the past year or so it’s been my privilege to be part of a National Academy of Sciences study on social and behavioral sciences and the weather enterprise. We’re in the process of concluding the study; the findings and …

2017-07-20 14:45   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: A televised red-blue debate on climate change?

One of the topics that came up while I was on the road for the past month. Haven’t seen anything more on it this past week, so this post may be “kicking a dead horse.” (In any case, this horse …

2017-07-18 23:18   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Remembering C. Gordon Little, 1924-2017

I returned to my desk this morning after a month out of the office to the (belated) unhappy news that C. Gordon Little had passed away. Forty-four years ago, Gordon took a risk and gave me my first science-management position, …

2017-07-17 20:09   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: I love Paris.

The previous LOTRW post, Presidential power – not all it’s cracked up to be, argued that the President’s recent decision to pull out of the Paris Climate Agreement, while comforting to elements of his base, was really of small consequence. …

2017-06-04 12:56   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Presidential power –not all it’s cracked up to be.

(Yesterday’s furor over the President’s decision to pull out of the Paris Climate Agreement may have been overblown. Here’s why.) _________________________ Richard Neustadt, the famous presidential historian, tells us what some of Mr. Trumps’ predecessors had to say about the …

2017-06-03 13:50   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: The morning after.

“We learn geology the morning after the earthquake.” – Ralph Waldo Emerson President Trump’s speech announcing U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Climate agreement appears to be triggering the predicted response. Both domestically and globally, people everywhere, from diverse publics – …

2017-06-02 19:43   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: Climate change? Whatever changes this week, some things will stay the same.

What’s in a name? That which we call a rose by any other name would smell as sweet – William Shakespeare (Romeo and Juliet) What’s past is prologue – William Shakespeare (The Tempest) Saturday’s print edition of the Washington Post …

2017-05-30 03:00   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: E(arth)xit.

Stephen Hawking has been asking a proper question: How much time do we (humans) have here on Earth? His answer is uncertain, and in fact has been a moving target, but can be summed up like this: not much! (and …

2017-05-27 14:30   Click to comment

Bill Hooke: The Spirit of Margaret Davidson.

1When the Lord was about to take Elijah up to heaven in a whirlwind, Elijah and Elisha were on their way from Gilgal.2 Elijah said to Elisha, “Stay here; the Lord has sent me to Bethel.” But Elisha said, “As surely as the Lord lives and as you live, I will …

2017-05-25 20:33   Click to comment


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