Variable Variability : America, it is Tuesday the 6th of November: VOTE

Opinion polling is hard because one needs to sample all groups evenly. Election polling is even harder because you need to predict turnout as well. With the low turnout in the US (2014: 37% of eligible voters; 2012+2016: 61%): TURNOUT IS EVERYTHING. If all young people would vote Republicans would have nearly no seat in the House. That is how important turnout is. (Take your friends with you…

2018-11-06 05:26


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